-Action: The Relationship between variables influence on the economy of real estate
No matter what is in favor of or opposed to what should be reasonable, be logically correct, factually correct.
What is the relationship between variables? Variable relations in mathematics, also known as topology, that is an object of continuous deformation in space and time attached to the relationship between different variables. On the macro-economic terms, is to observe the major variables that affect the GDP, analysis of these variables and the relationship between GDP growth.
Let's look at the situation in 2008. 2008 GDP growth of 9.6%, down sharply over the 3.4 percent growth rate. Growth factor specific to the investment in fixed assets rose 25.5%, 0.7 percentage points over the previous year; the growth of total social retail 21.6%, 4.8 percentage points over the previous year; exports grew 7.24%, an increase of 13.21 percent over the previous year down . Only from these variables, it seems that lead to economic slowdown is mainly due to the export slowdown, or by the financial crisis.
However, if the notes in 2008 annual sales of new homes fell by 34.92 percent, while an increase of 13.5% over the previous year; noted that in 2008 the newly built commercial housing sales, declining by 19.5%, while an increase of 42.1% over the previous year; noted that the central bank had previously illogical personal mortgage interest rates significantly increased to 8.61%, it is not difficult to draw conclusions: in 2008 China's economic slowdown led to the real reason is that real estate over-tightening policy in a substantial decline.
Look at the situation again in 2009. 2009 GDP growth of 8.7%, down 0.9 percentage points over the previous year; fixed asset investment grew 30.1%, 4.6 percentage points over the previous year to speed up; social retail sales grew 15.5%, down 6.1 percentage points over the previous year; exports -16% , down 23.24 percentage points over the previous year; but only 82.8% of sales of commercial property (in 2009 4.4 trillion, in 2008 2.41 trillion), second-hand housing sales increase of more than 200% is.
For whom, we can not deny that real estate in today's pillar industry of China's economic role, unless he is a nerd, is subjective dogmatist, or ignorance, and emotional elements. My words are strong enough, but the character dictates, can not be changed. What men say, of course, sonorous, powerful, can not be submissive.